Union Pacific Corporation

UNP US Industrials Rail Transportation
S&P 500
$284.40
-0.48%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

UNP
Union Pacific Corporation
IndustrialsRail Transportation
$284.40
Close used for this calculation
$197.23Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
52/100
Profitability19/25
Returns15/25
Balance Sheet7/25
Efficiency11/25
Growth6/25
Good
Quality radar
52Prof.19/25Ret.15/25Eff.11/25B.Sht7/25Growth6/25

Consensus fair value

$197.23
Above FV
▼ -30.7% against the close used
Model range $82.66 – $248.28
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$82.66Fair value$197.23Bull$248.28
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $214.9152W high $310.62

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Union Pacific Corporation closed at $284.40, 44.2% above the consensus fair value of $197.23 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 52/100 — Good. P/E of 23.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$162.39
-42.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=6.9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$96.87
-65.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=11.98, BVPS=34.81 · outside Graham range (P/E 23.7, P/B 8.2) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$239.60
-15.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=11.98, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$82.66
-70.9%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=11.98, g=6.9%
EV/EBITDA
$226.63
-20.3%
(EBITDA × 13.5x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=12.31B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$187.32
-34.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=5.43, r=10%, g=6.9%
Book Value (P/B)
$248.28
-12.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=34.81, ROE=34.5%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$284.40
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 9.5% | Historical: 6.9%
Margin of Safety
$124.72
-56.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=166.29, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.