Valero Energy

VLO US Energy Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
S&P 500
$390.42
+1.29%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

VLO
Valero Energy
EnergyOil & Gas Refining & Marketing
$390.42
Close used for this calculation
$135.09Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
33/100
Profitability9/25
Returns3/25
Balance Sheet16/25
Efficiency5/25
Growth4/25
Weak
Quality radar
33Prof.9/25Ret.3/25Eff.5/25B.Sht16/25Growth4/25

Consensus fair value

$135.09
Above FV
▼ -65.4% against the close used
Model range $7.57 – $200.01
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$7.57Fair value$135.09Bull$200.01
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $156.3952W high $390.42

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Valero Energy closed at $390.42, 189.0% above the consensus fair value of $135.09 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 33/100 — Weak. P/E of 51.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$94.78
-75.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=1%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$120.36
-69.2%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=7.57, BVPS=85.06 · outside Graham range (P/E 51.6, P/B 4.6) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$151.40
-61.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=7.57, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$7.57
-98.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=7.57, g=1%
EV/EBITDA
$200.01
-48.8%
(EBITDA × 10.5x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=6.34B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$57.74
-85.2%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=4.53, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
$77.65
-80.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=85.06, ROE=9.4%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$390.42
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 19.9% | Historical: 1%
Margin of Safety
$91.63
-76.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=122.18, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.