Valley Bank

VLY US Financials Regional Banks
S&P 400
$13.80
-0.36%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

VLY
Valley Bank
FinancialsRegional Banks
$13.80
Close used for this calculation
$13.38Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
66/100
Profitability17/25
Returns8/25
Balance Sheet21/25
Efficiency20/25
Growth8/25
Strong
Quality radar
66Prof.17/25Ret.8/25Eff.20/25B.Sht21/25Growth8/25

Consensus fair value

$13.38
Near FV
▼ -3.0% against the close used
Model range $5.57 – $20.20
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$5.57Fair value$13.38Bull$20.20
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $9.7252W high $15.19

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading close to the consensus fair value

Valley Bank closed at $13.80, 3.1% above the consensus fair value of $13.38 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 66/100 — Strong. P/E of 13.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$8.94
-35.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=5.5%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$17.98
+30.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=1.01, BVPS=14.23
P/E Fair Value
$20.20
+46.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=1.01, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$5.57
-59.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=1.01, g=5.5%
EV/EBITDA
$16.85
+22.1%
(EBITDA × 12.8x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=781.97M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$10.34
-25.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=0.44, r=10%, g=5.5%
Book Value (P/B)
$6.46
-53.2%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=14.23, ROE=7.6%, g=5.5%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$13.80
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 2% | Historical: 5.5%
Margin of Safety
$11.78
-14.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=15.71, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.