The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$8.83Fair value$48.74Bull$66.38
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $134.7152W high $217.92
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading above the consensus fair value
Vistra Corp. closed at $148.38, 204.4% above the consensus fair value of $48.74 drawn from 8 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 27/100 — Weak. P/E of 68.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$45.45
-69.4%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=4.1%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$28.16
-81.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=2.18, BVPS=16.16 · outside Graham range (P/E 68.1, P/B 9.2) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$43.60
-70.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=2.18, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$8.83
-94.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=2.18, g=4.1%
EV/EBITDA
$66.38
-55.3%
(EBITDA × 12x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=3.89B
Book Value (P/B)
$35.78
-75.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=16.16, ROE=17.2%, g=4.1%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$148.38
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 23.8% | Historical: 4.1%
Margin of Safety
$29.30
-80.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=39.07, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.