The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$5.87Fair value$40.39Bull$61.37
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $28.8752W high $40.67
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
Valvoline closed at $30.55, 24.4% below the consensus fair value of $40.39 drawn from 7 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 57/100 — Good. P/E of 18.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$5.87
-80.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
P/E Fair Value
$32.80
+7.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=1.64, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$28.93
-5.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=1.64, g=17.6%
EV/EBITDA
$61.37
+100.9%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=494.8M
Book Value (P/B)
$36.21
+18.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=3.25, ROE=50.6%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$30.55
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 6.2% | Historical: 17.6%
Margin of Safety
$14.50
-52.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=19.33, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.