The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$53.35Fair value$127.80Bull$174.11
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $127.1652W high $175.38
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading close to the consensus fair value
Advanced Drainage Systems closed at $127.88, 0.1% above the consensus fair value of $127.80 drawn from 8 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 64/100 — Good. P/E of 23.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$144.14
+12.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$53.35
-58.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=5.44, BVPS=23.25 · outside Graham range (P/E 23.5, P/B 5.5) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$108.80
-14.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=5.44, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$163.20
+27.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=5.44, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$174.11
+36.2%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=835.46M
Book Value (P/B)
$103.47
-19.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=23.25, ROE=23.8%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$127.88
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 9.3% | Historical: 38.5%
Margin of Safety
$76.57
-40.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=102.1, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.