XPEL, Inc.

XPEL US Consumer Discretionary Automotive Parts & Equipment
S&P 600
$47.20
-1.79%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

XPEL
XPEL, Inc.
Consumer DiscretionaryAutomotive Parts & Equipment
$47.20
Close used for this calculation
$39.41Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
59/100
Profitability21/25
Returns10/25
Balance Sheet18/25
Efficiency10/25
Growth12/25
Good
Quality radar
59Prof.21/25Ret.10/25Eff.10/25B.Sht18/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

$39.41
Above FV
▼ -16.5% against the close used
Model range $21.48 – $52.71
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$21.48Fair value$39.41Bull$52.71
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $32.1752W high $54.95

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

XPEL, Inc. closed at $47.20, 19.8% above the consensus fair value of $39.41 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 59/100 — Good. P/E of 25.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$45.11
-4.4%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$21.48
-54.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=1.85, BVPS=11.08 · outside Graham range (P/E 25.5, P/B 4.3) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$37.00
-21.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=1.85, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$52.71
+11.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=1.85, g=28.5%
EV/EBITDA
$44.80
-5.1%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=68.91M
Book Value (P/B)
$29.72
-37.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=11.08, ROE=16.7%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$47.20
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 10.4% | Historical: 28.5%
Margin of Safety
$25.90
-45.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=34.53, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.