XPO, Inc.

XPO US Industrials Cargo Ground Transportation
S&P 400
$182.18
-0.09%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

XPO
XPO, Inc.
IndustrialsCargo Ground Transportation
$182.18
Close used for this calculation
$107.50Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
42/100
Profitability15/25
Returns9/25
Balance Sheet9/25
Efficiency9/25
Growth14/25
Average
Quality radar
42Prof.15/25Ret.9/25Eff.9/25B.Sht9/25Growth14/25

Consensus fair value

$107.50
Above FV
▼ -41.0% against the close used
Model range $31.44 – $540.09
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$31.44Fair value$107.50Bull$540.09
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $123.6652W high $228.37

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

XPO, Inc. closed at $182.18, 69.5% above the consensus fair value of $107.50 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 42/100 — Average. P/E of 69.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$54.56
-70.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$31.44
-82.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=2.64, BVPS=16.64 · outside Graham range (P/E 69, P/B 11) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$52.80
-71.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=2.64, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$51.56
-71.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=2.64, g=19.5%
EV/EBITDA
$144.29
-20.8%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.12B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$540.09
+196.5%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=10, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$42.05
-76.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=16.64, ROE=16.1%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$182.18
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 24% | Historical: 19.5%
Margin of Safety
$34.70
-81.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=46.27, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.