¥625.21
Below FV▲ +47.1% against the close used
Model range ¥280.74 – ¥792.27
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear¥280.74Fair value¥625.21Bull¥792.27
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥386.0052W high ¥538.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading below the consensus fair value
Systena Corporation closed at ¥425.00, 32.0% below the consensus fair value of ¥625.21 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 70/100 — Strong. P/E of 13.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
¥628.22
+47.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥280.74
-33.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=31.65, BVPS=110.68 · outside Graham range (P/E 13.4, P/B 3.8) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥633.00
+48.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=31.65, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥545.01
+28.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=31.65, g=17.2%
EV/EBITDA
¥792.27
+86.4%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=15.82B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥755.05
+77.7%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=13.98, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥702.80
+65.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=110.68, ROE=31.4%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥425.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 1.8% | Historical: 17.2%
Margin of Safety
¥385.49
-9.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=513.99, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.