Mizuho Financial Group,Inc.

8411 TSE Financials Banks
TSE Prime
¥8,654.00
+0.56%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

8411
Mizuho Financial Group,Inc.
FinancialsBanks
¥8,654.00
Close used for this calculation
¥9,234.20Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
46/100
Profitability19/25
Returns8/25
Balance Sheet3/25
Efficiency16/25
Growth17/25
Average
Quality radar
46Prof.19/25Ret.8/25Eff.16/25B.Sht3/25Growth17/25

Consensus fair value

¥9,234.20
Near FV
▲ +6.7% against the close used
Model range ¥6,362.55 – ¥11,999.67
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥6,362.55Fair value¥9,234.20Bull¥11,999.67
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥4,569.0052W high ¥8,775.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading close to the consensus fair value

Mizuho Financial Group,Inc. closed at ¥8,654.00, 6.3% below the consensus fair value of ¥9,234.20 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 46/100 — Average. P/E of 17.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥9,982.47
+15.4%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥7,255.92
-16.2%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=502.92, BVPS=4652.69 · outside Graham range (P/E 17.2, P/B 1.9) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥10,058.40
+16.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=502.92, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥11,999.67
+38.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=502.92, g=23.9%
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥7,850.91
-9.3%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=145.39, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥6,362.55
-26.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=4652.69, ROE=11.5%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥8,654.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 5.1% | Historical: 23.9%
Margin of Safety
¥6,824.20
-21.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=9098.93, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.