APA Corporation
S&P 500
$44.73
+0.45%
Delayed · cached 15 min
Fair value analysis
APA
APA Corporation
$44.73
Close used for this calculation
$68.76Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
77/100
Quality radar
Consensus fair value
$68.76
Below FV▲ +53.7% against the close used
Model range $42.15 – $235.58
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$42.15Fair value$68.76Bull$235.58
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $21.6652W high $44.84
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
APA Corporation closed at $44.73, 34.9% below the consensus fair value of $68.76 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 77/100 — Strong. P/E of 11.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$79.20
+77.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$42.15
-5.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=3.99, BVPS=19.79 · outside Graham range (P/E 11.2, P/B 2.3) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$79.80
+78.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=3.99, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$45.53
+1.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=3.99, g=11.4%
EV/EBITDA
$235.58
+426.7%
(EBITDA × 15.7x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=5.39B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$54.11
+21.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=1, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$71.35
+59.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=19.79, ROE=20.4%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$44.73
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -0.7% | Historical: 11.4%
Margin of Safety
$50.29
+12.4%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=67.05, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.