Armour Residential REIT

ARR US Real Estate Mortgage REITs
S&P 600
$15.80
-0.19%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

ARR
Armour Residential REIT
Real EstateMortgage REITs
$15.80
Close used for this calculation
$50.58Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
52/100
Profitability12/25
Returns11/25
Balance Sheet11/25
Efficiency18/25
Growth14/25
Good
Quality radar
52Prof.12/25Ret.11/25Eff.18/25B.Sht11/25Growth14/25

Consensus fair value

$50.58
Below FV
▲ +220.1% against the close used
Model range $26.83 – $66.00
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$26.83Fair value$50.58Bull$66.00
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $14.0552W high $19.12

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Armour Residential REIT closed at $15.80, 68.8% below the consensus fair value of $50.58 drawn from 7 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 52/100 — Good. P/E of 4.8x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$61.85
+291.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$38.29
+142.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=3.3, BVPS=19.75
P/E Fair Value
$66.00
+317.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=3.3, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$36.43
+130.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=3.3, g=11%
Book Value (P/B)
$26.83
+69.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=19.75, ROE=12.5%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$15.80
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -10% | Historical: -11%
Margin of Safety
$41.54
+162.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=55.38, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.