Etsy

ETSY US Consumer Discretionary Broadline Retail
S&P 600
$72.96
+1.91%
Delayed · cached 15 min
Fair Value Analysis →

Fair value analysis

ETSY
Etsy
Consumer DiscretionaryBroadline Retail
$71.59
Close used for this calculation
$59.30Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
37/100
Profitability15/25
Returns1/25
Balance Sheet21/25
Efficiency0/25
Growth6/25
Average
Quality radar
37Prof.15/25Ret.1/25Eff.0/25B.Sht21/25Growth6/25

Consensus fair value

$59.30
Above FV
▼ -17.2% against the close used
Model range $14.94 – $114.78
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$14.94Fair value$59.30Bull$114.78
FairClose
52W low $44.0552W high $87.03

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Etsy closed at $71.59, 17.2% above the consensus fair value of $59.30 drawn from 6 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 37/100 — Average. P/E of 51.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$114.78
+60.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
P/E Fair Value
$27.80
-61.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=1.39, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$14.94
-79.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=1.39, g=10.8%
EV/EBITDA
$34.73
-51.5%
(EBITDA × 15.4x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=368.06M
Reverse DCF
$71.59
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 19.9% | Historical: 10.8%
Margin of Safety
$53.47
-25.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=71.29, MoS=25%

Computed on September 11, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.