Hilton Worldwide
S&P 500
$306.19
-0.02%
Delayed · cached 15 min
Fair value analysis
HLT
Hilton Worldwide
$306.19
Close used for this calculation
$146.70Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
35/100
Quality radar
Consensus fair value
$146.70
Above FV▼ -52.1% against the close used
Model range $70.75 – $190.23
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$70.75Fair value$146.70Bull$190.23
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $256.7552W high $350.22
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading above the consensus fair value
Hilton Worldwide closed at $306.19, 108.7% above the consensus fair value of $146.70 drawn from 6 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 35/100 — Average. P/E of 50.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$169.08
-44.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
P/E Fair Value
$122.40
-60.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=6.12, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$70.75
-76.9%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=6.12, g=11.6%
EV/EBITDA
$190.23
-37.9%
(EBITDA × 15.8x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=2.87B
Reverse DCF
$306.19
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 19.5% | Historical: 11.6%
Margin of Safety
$109.31
-64.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=145.74, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.