Horace Mann Educators Corporation

HMN US Financials Multi-line Insurance
S&P 600
$48.77
-1.53%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

HMN
Horace Mann Educators Corporation
FinancialsMulti-line Insurance
$48.77
Close used for this calculation
$73.12Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
63/100
Profitability17/25
Returns14/25
Balance Sheet14/25
Efficiency18/25
Growth20/25
Good
Quality radar
63Prof.17/25Ret.14/25Eff.18/25B.Sht14/25Growth20/25

Consensus fair value

$73.12
Below FV
▲ +49.9% against the close used
Model range $43.58 – $85.25
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$43.58Fair value$73.12Bull$85.25
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $41.4952W high $54.12

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Horace Mann Educators Corporation closed at $48.77, 33.3% below the consensus fair value of $73.12 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 63/100 — Good. P/E of 12.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$77.41
+58.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$56.51
+15.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=3.9, BVPS=36.4
P/E Fair Value
$78.00
+59.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=3.9, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$72.42
+48.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=3.9, g=18.6%
EV/EBITDA
$85.25
+74.8%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=228.3M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$75.58
+55.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=1.4, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$43.58
-10.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=36.4, ROE=10.8%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$48.77
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 0.8% | Historical: 18.6%
Margin of Safety
$52.98
+8.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=70.64, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.