The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$17.62Fair value$40.04Bull$48.80
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $26.6052W high $35.20
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
Millrose Properties, Inc. closed at $29.69, 25.8% below the consensus fair value of $40.04 drawn from 8 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 54/100 — Good. P/E of 12.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$45.73
+54.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$44.05
+48.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=2.44, BVPS=35.35
P/E Fair Value
$48.80
+64.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=2.44, Sector P/E=20x
EV/EBITDA
$31.22
+5.2%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=486.07M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$32.52
+9.5%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=2.55, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
$17.62
-40.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=35.35, ROE=6.5%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$29.69
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 0.4% | Historical: 0%
Margin of Safety
$34.64
+16.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=46.19, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.