The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$7.79Fair value$33.22Bull$72.56
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $52.3452W high $104.69
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading above the consensus fair value
Shake Shack, Inc. closed at $63.65, 91.6% above the consensus fair value of $33.22 drawn from 8 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 45/100 — Average. P/E of 58.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$26.74
-58.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$17.85
-72.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=1.09, BVPS=12.99 · outside Graham range (P/E 58.4, P/B 4.9) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$21.80
-65.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=1.09, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$32.70
-48.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=1.09, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$72.56
+14.0%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=169.11M
Book Value (P/B)
$7.79
-87.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=12.99, ROE=8.4%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$63.65
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 21.6% | Historical: 40%
Margin of Safety
$16.60
-73.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=22.13, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.