Shake Shack, Inc.

SHAK US Consumer Discretionary Restaurants
S&P 600
$63.65
+3.16%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

SHAK
Shake Shack, Inc.
Consumer DiscretionaryRestaurants
$63.65
Close used for this calculation
$33.22Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
45/100
Profitability17/25
Returns3/25
Balance Sheet19/25
Efficiency6/25
Growth12/25
Average
Quality radar
45Prof.17/25Ret.3/25Eff.6/25B.Sht19/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

$33.22
Above FV
▼ -47.8% against the close used
Model range $7.79 – $72.56
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$7.79Fair value$33.22Bull$72.56
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $52.3452W high $104.69

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Shake Shack, Inc. closed at $63.65, 91.6% above the consensus fair value of $33.22 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 45/100 — Average. P/E of 58.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$26.74
-58.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$17.85
-72.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=1.09, BVPS=12.99 · outside Graham range (P/E 58.4, P/B 4.9) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$21.80
-65.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=1.09, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$32.70
-48.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=1.09, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
$72.56
+14.0%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=169.11M
Book Value (P/B)
$7.79
-87.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=12.99, ROE=8.4%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$63.65
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 21.6% | Historical: 40%
Margin of Safety
$16.60
-73.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=22.13, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.