$394.26
Below FV▲ +74.6% against the close used
Model range $142.69 – $636.80
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear$142.69Fair value$394.26Bull$636.80
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $167.5752W high $232.63
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading below the consensus fair value
Hanover Insurance closed at $225.84, 42.7% below the consensus fair value of $394.26 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 70/100 — Strong. P/E of 12.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
$636.80
+182.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$205.27
-9.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=18.16, BVPS=103.12 · outside Graham range (P/E 12.4, P/B 2.2) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$363.20
+60.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=18.16, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$183.96
-18.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=18.16, g=10.1%
EV/EBITDA
$380.76
+68.6%
(EBITDA × 15.1x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=928.4M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$142.69
-36.8%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=2.64, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
$310.40
+37.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=103.12, ROE=18%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$225.84
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 0.7% | Historical: 10.1%
Margin of Safety
$301.32
+33.4%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=401.76, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.