ExxonMobil
S&P 500
$165.99
+0.46%
Delayed · cached 15 min
Fair value analysis
XOM
ExxonMobil
$165.99
Close used for this calculation
$111.87Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
48/100
Quality radar
Consensus fair value
$111.87
Above FV▼ -32.6% against the close used
Model range $8.38 – $156.24
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear$8.38Fair value$111.87Bull$156.24
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $110.6452W high $171.47
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading above the consensus fair value
ExxonMobil closed at $165.99, 48.4% above the consensus fair value of $111.87 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 48/100 — Average. P/E of 24.8x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
$102.80
-38.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
$93.21
-43.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=6.7, BVPS=57.64 · outside Graham range (P/E 24.8, P/B 2.9) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
$134.00
-19.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=6.7, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$8.38
-95.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=6.7, g=1.3%
EV/EBITDA
$156.24
-5.9%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=67.26B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
$51.00
-69.3%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=4, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
$68.67
-58.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=57.64, ROE=11.3%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$165.99
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 10% | Historical: -1.3%
Margin of Safety
$82.50
-50.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=110, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.