The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,980.09Fair value¥4,377.33Bull¥9,054.86
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,971.0052W high ¥3,889.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
YAMAZAKI BAKING CO.,LTD. closed at ¥3,867.00, 11.7% below the consensus fair value of ¥4,377.33 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 57/100 — Good. P/E of 18.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥2,818.56
-27.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥3,292.14
-14.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=206.78, BVPS=2329.52 · outside Graham range (P/E 18.7, P/B 1.7) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥4,135.60
+6.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=206.78, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥6,203.40
+60.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=206.78, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥9,054.86
+134.2%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=104.79B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥3,236.68
-16.3%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=59.94, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,980.09
-48.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=2329.52, ROE=9.4%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,867.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 6.2% | Historical: 40.9%
Margin of Safety
¥2,561.58
-33.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=3415.43, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.