Asahi Group Holdings,Ltd.

2502 TSE Consumer Staples Foods
TSE Prime
¥1,586.50
-0.47%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

2502
Asahi Group Holdings,Ltd.
Consumer Staples›Foods
¥1,586.50
Close used for this calculation
¥1,262.68Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
34/100
Profitability8/25
Returns10/25
Balance Sheet0/25
Efficiency16/25
Growth8/25
Weak
Quality radar
34Prof.8/25Ret.10/25Eff.16/25B.Sht0/25Growth8/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,262.68
Above FV
▼ -20.4% against the close used
Model range ¥143.72 – ¥1,625.80
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥143.72Fair value¥1,262.68Bull¥1,625.80
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,473.5052W high ¥1,841.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Asahi Group Holdings,Ltd. closed at ¥1,586.50, 25.6% above the consensus fair value of ¥1,262.68 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 34/100 — Weak. P/E of 19.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥1,523.58
-4.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,189.74
-25.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=81.29, BVPS=773.9 · outside Graham range (P/E 19.5, P/B 2.1) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,625.80
+2.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=81.29, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥460.10
-71.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=81.29, g=5.7%
EV/EBITDA
¥676.89
-57.3%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=348.96B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥663.47
-58.2%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=52.04, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥143.72
-90.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=773.9, ROE=4.3%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,586.50
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 6.8% | Historical: -5.7%
Margin of Safety
¥1,084.78
-31.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1446.37, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.