The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,020.22Fair value¥3,419.19Bull¥5,371.06
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,115.0052W high ¥3,133.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
Kirin Holdings Company,Limited closed at ¥2,775.00, 18.8% below the consensus fair value of ¥3,419.19 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 59/100 — Good. P/E of 15.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥2,936.24
+5.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,669.49
-39.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=182.13, BVPS=680.15 · outside Graham range (P/E 15.2, P/B 4.1) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥3,642.60
+31.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=182.13, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥4,613.35
+66.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=182.13, g=25.3%
EV/EBITDA
¥5,371.06
+93.6%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=311.53B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥4,000.99
+44.2%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=74.09, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,020.22
-63.2%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=680.15, ROE=12%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,775.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 3.5% | Historical: 25.3%
Margin of Safety
¥2,062.08
-25.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2749.44, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.