The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥2,318.31Fair value¥3,846.88Bull¥5,826.18
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥6,000.0052W high ¥8,590.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading above the consensus fair value
McDonald's Holdings Company(Japan),Ltd. closed at ¥8,030.00, 108.7% above the consensus fair value of ¥3,846.88 drawn from 8 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 43/100 — Average. P/E of 31.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥2,345.21
-70.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥3,477.69
-56.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=255.04, BVPS=2107.61 · outside Graham range (P/E 31.5, P/B 3.8) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥5,100.80
-36.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=255.04, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,318.31
-71.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=255.04, g=9.1%
EV/EBITDA
¥5,826.18
-27.4%
(EBITDA × 14.5x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=53.26B
Book Value (P/B)
¥3,530.25
-56.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=2107.61, ROE=12.7%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥8,030.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 13.3% | Historical: 9.1%
Margin of Safety
¥2,730.93
-66.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=3641.23, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.