KOBE BUSSAN CO.,LTD.

3038 TSE Consumer Discretionary Wholesale Trade
TSE Prime
¥2,965.50
-3.44%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

3038
KOBE BUSSAN CO.,LTD.
Consumer DiscretionaryWholesale Trade
¥2,965.50
Close used for this calculation
¥2,661.85Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
59/100
Profitability15/25
Returns15/25
Balance Sheet18/25
Efficiency11/25
Growth9/25
Good
Quality radar
59Prof.15/25Ret.15/25Eff.11/25B.Sht18/25Growth9/25

Consensus fair value

¥2,661.85
Near FV
▼ -10.2% against the close used
Model range ¥1,516.01 – ¥3,317.67
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥1,516.01Fair value¥2,661.85Bull¥3,317.67
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,537.0052W high ¥4,360.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

KOBE BUSSAN CO.,LTD. closed at ¥2,965.50, 11.4% above the consensus fair value of ¥2,661.85 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 59/100 — Good. P/E of 20.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥2,961.50
-0.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,516.01
-48.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=143.98, BVPS=709.45 · outside Graham range (P/E 20.6, P/B 4.2) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥2,879.60
-2.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=143.98, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,863.10
-37.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=143.98, g=12.9%
EV/EBITDA
¥3,317.67
+11.9%
(EBITDA × 16.5x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=46.43B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,617.38
-45.5%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=29.95, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥2,873.27
-3.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=709.45, ROE=22.2%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,965.50
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 7.5% | Historical: 12.9%
Margin of Safety
¥1,839.28
-38.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2452.37, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.