ASAHI KASEI CORPORATION

3407 TSE Chemicals Chemicals
TSE Prime
¥1,552.00
-0.93%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

3407
ASAHI KASEI CORPORATION
ChemicalsChemicals
¥1,552.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,772.26Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
59/100
Profitability8/25
Returns15/25
Balance Sheet18/25
Efficiency18/25
Growth9/25
Good
Quality radar
59Prof.8/25Ret.15/25Eff.18/25B.Sht18/25Growth9/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,772.26
Near FV
▲ +14.2% against the close used
Model range ¥116.97 – ¥2,339.40
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥116.97Fair value¥1,772.26Bull¥2,339.40
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,157.5052W high ¥1,901.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

ASAHI KASEI CORPORATION closed at ¥1,552.00, 12.4% below the consensus fair value of ¥1,772.26 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 59/100 — Good. P/E of 13.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥1,510.84
-2.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥2,011.01
+29.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=116.97, BVPS=1536.63
P/E Fair Value
¥2,339.40
+50.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=116.97, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥116.97
-92.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=116.97, g=1%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,188.08
+41.0%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=393.8B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥536.25
-65.4%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=42.06, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,097.60
-29.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1536.63, ROE=8%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,552.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 1.6% | Historical: -1%
Margin of Safety
¥1,465.31
-5.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1953.75, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.