THE PACK CORPORATION

3950 TSE Materials Pulp and Paper
TSE Prime
¥1,454.00
-1.02%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

3950
THE PACK CORPORATION
MaterialsPulp and Paper
¥1,454.00
Close used for this calculation
¥2,118.09Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
71/100
Profitability19/25
Returns11/25
Balance Sheet21/25
Efficiency20/25
Growth25/25
Strong
Quality radar
71Prof.19/25Ret.11/25Eff.20/25B.Sht21/25Growth25/25

Consensus fair value

¥2,118.09
Below FV
▲ +45.7% against the close used
Model range ¥692.38 – ¥4,318.38
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥692.38Fair value¥2,118.09Bull¥4,318.38
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,157.0052W high ¥1,540.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

THE PACK CORPORATION closed at ¥1,454.00, 31.4% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,118.09 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 71/100 — Strong. P/E of 13.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥1,435.97
-1.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,826.98
+25.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=107.13, BVPS=1384.76
P/E Fair Value
¥2,142.60
+47.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=107.13, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,233.66
+53.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=107.13, g=20.9%
EV/EBITDA
¥3,242.21
+123.0%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=10.15B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥4,318.38
+197.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=79.97, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥692.38
-52.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1384.76, ROE=8%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,454.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 1.9% | Historical: 20.9%
Margin of Safety
¥1,351.39
-7.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1801.85, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.