Kao Corporation

4452 TSE Chemicals Chemicals
TSE Prime
¥3,387.00
-1.51%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

4452
Kao Corporation
ChemicalsChemicals
¥3,387.00
Close used for this calculation
¥4,170.26Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
61/100
Profitability11/25
Returns16/25
Balance Sheet16/25
Efficiency18/25
Growth14/25
Good
Quality radar
61Prof.11/25Ret.16/25Eff.18/25B.Sht16/25Growth14/25

Consensus fair value

¥4,170.26
Below FV
▲ +23.1% against the close used
Model range ¥598.69 – ¥5,646.52
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥598.69Fair value¥4,170.26Bull¥5,646.52
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,904.5052W high ¥3,738.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Kao Corporation closed at ¥3,387.00, 18.8% below the consensus fair value of ¥4,170.26 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 61/100 — Good. P/E of 13.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥4,051.09
+19.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=2.3%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥2,962.66
-12.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=260.3, BVPS=1498.67 · outside Graham range (P/E 13, P/B 2.3) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥5,206.00
+53.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=260.3, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥598.69
-82.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=260.3, g=2.3%
EV/EBITDA
¥5,646.52
+66.7%
(EBITDA × 11.2x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=249.91B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥2,047.44
-39.6%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=154.11, r=10%, g=2.3%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,777.00
-47.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1498.67, ROE=11.3%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,387.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 1.3% | Historical: 2.3%
Margin of Safety
¥3,054.94
-9.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=4073.25, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.