NIPPON PAINT HOLDINGS CO.,LTD.

4612 TSE Chemicals Chemicals
TSE Prime
¥1,097.00
-1.57%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

4612
NIPPON PAINT HOLDINGS CO.,LTD.
ChemicalsChemicals
¥1,097.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,384.08Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
64/100
Profitability21/25
Returns14/25
Balance Sheet15/25
Efficiency14/25
Growth23/25
Good
Quality radar
64Prof.21/25Ret.14/25Eff.14/25B.Sht15/25Growth23/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,384.08
Below FV
▲ +26.2% against the close used
Model range ¥733.46 – ¥2,125.02
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥733.46Fair value¥1,384.08Bull¥2,125.02
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥958.4052W high ¥1,269.50

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

NIPPON PAINT HOLDINGS CO.,LTD. closed at ¥1,097.00, 20.7% below the consensus fair value of ¥1,384.08 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 64/100 — Good. P/E of 14.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥1,227.23
+11.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,048.85
-4.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=76.66, BVPS=637.79 · outside Graham range (P/E 14.3, P/B 1.7) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,533.20
+39.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=76.66, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,125.02
+93.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=76.66, g=27.7%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,904.61
+73.6%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=327.17B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥864.87
-21.2%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=16.02, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥733.46
-33.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=637.79, ROE=10.6%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,097.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 2.6% | Historical: 27.7%
Margin of Safety
¥952.32
-13.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1269.76, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.