ORIENTAL LAND CO.,LTD.

4661 TSE Industrials Services
TSE Prime
¥3,085.00
-2.77%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

4661
ORIENTAL LAND CO.,LTD.
IndustrialsServices
¥3,085.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,529.26Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
58/100
Profitability23/25
Returns6/25
Balance Sheet21/25
Efficiency8/25
Growth12/25
Good
Quality radar
58Prof.23/25Ret.6/25Eff.8/25B.Sht21/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,529.26
Above FV
▼ -50.4% against the close used
Model range ¥952.03 – ¥2,384.01
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥952.03Fair value¥1,529.26Bull¥2,384.01
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,125.5052W high ¥3,715.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

ORIENTAL LAND CO.,LTD. closed at ¥3,085.00, 101.7% above the consensus fair value of ¥1,529.26 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 58/100 — Good. P/E of 41.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥1,262.20
-59.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,059.13
-65.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=74.34, BVPS=670.65 · outside Graham range (P/E 41.5, P/B 4.6) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,486.80
-51.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=74.34, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,230.20
-27.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=74.34, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,384.01
-22.7%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=234.96B
Book Value (P/B)
¥955.68
-69.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=670.65, ROE=11.7%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,085.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 17% | Historical: 97.2%
Margin of Safety
¥952.03
-69.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1269.38, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.