The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥746.88Fair value¥3,519.93Bull¥7,135.36
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,090.0052W high ¥1,575.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
NIHON KOGYO CO.,LTD. closed at ¥1,195.00, 66.1% below the consensus fair value of ¥3,519.93 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 60/100 — Good. P/E of 6.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥3,939.63
+229.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥3,652.61
+205.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=198.48, BVPS=2987.5
P/E Fair Value
¥3,969.60
+232.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=198.48, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥4,088.69
+242.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=198.48, g=20.6%
EV/EBITDA
¥7,135.36
+497.1%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.37B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥2,968.38
+148.4%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=54.97, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥746.88
-37.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=2987.5, ROE=7%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,195.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -9.6% | Historical: 20.6%
Margin of Safety
¥2,890.46
+141.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=3853.95, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.