TOKAI CARBON CO.,LTD.

5301 TSE Materials Glass and Ceramics Products
TSE Prime
¥1,987.50
-0.63%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

5301
TOKAI CARBON CO.,LTD.
MaterialsGlass and Ceramics Products
¥1,987.50
Close used for this calculation
¥1,548.62Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
52/100
Profitability13/25
Returns10/25
Balance Sheet18/25
Efficiency11/25
Growth6/25
Good
Quality radar
52Prof.13/25Ret.10/25Eff.11/25B.Sht18/25Growth6/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,548.62
Above FV
▼ -22.1% against the close used
Model range ¥320.96 – ¥2,527.07
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥320.96Fair value¥1,548.62Bull¥2,527.07
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥909.0052W high ¥2,000.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

TOKAI CARBON CO.,LTD. closed at ¥1,987.50, 28.3% above the consensus fair value of ¥1,548.62 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 52/100 — Good. P/E of 21.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥1,134.28
-42.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=5.7%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,778.27
-10.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=94.05, BVPS=1494.36 · outside Graham range (P/E 21.1, P/B 1.3) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,881.00
-5.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=94.05, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥533.26
-73.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=94.05, g=5.7%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,527.07
+27.1%
(EBITDA × 12.8x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=53.55B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥732.40
-63.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=30.01, r=10%, g=5.7%
Book Value (P/B)
¥320.96
-83.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1494.36, ROE=6.6%, g=5.7%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,987.50
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 7.9% | Historical: 5.7%
Margin of Safety
¥1,198.39
-39.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1597.85, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.