The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,130.75Fair value¥1,947.78Bull¥2,549.60
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,003.0052W high ¥2,843.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading above the consensus fair value
Citizen Watch Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥2,210.00, 13.5% above the consensus fair value of ¥1,947.78 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 57/100 — Good. P/E of 17.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥1,421.66
-35.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8.9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,856.09
-16.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=127.48, BVPS=1201.09 · outside Graham range (P/E 17.3, P/B 1.8) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥2,549.60
+15.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=127.48, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,130.75
-48.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=127.48, g=8.9%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,408.15
+9.0%
(EBITDA × 14.4x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=44.65B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥2,541.94
+15.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=47.07, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,600.45
-27.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1201.09, ROE=11.3%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,210.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 5.2% | Historical: 8.9%
Margin of Safety
¥1,456.84
-34.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1942.45, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.