The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,933.87Fair value¥3,201.90Bull¥3,515.20
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,075.0052W high ¥3,155.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
Goldwin Inc. closed at ¥2,090.00, 34.7% below the consensus fair value of ¥3,201.90 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 78/100 — Strong. P/E of 11.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥3,488.66
+66.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,933.87
-7.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=175.76, BVPS=945.7 · outside Graham range (P/E 11.9, P/B 2.2) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥3,515.20
+68.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=175.76, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,430.76
+16.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=175.76, g=13.8%
EV/EBITDA
¥3,480.19
+66.5%
(EBITDA × 16.9x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=28.39B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥3,137.51
+50.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=58.1, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥3,333.60
+59.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=945.7, ROE=20.1%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,090.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 0.1% | Historical: 13.8%
Margin of Safety
¥2,234.43
+6.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2979.24, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.