COSMOS INITIA Co.,Ltd.

8844 TSE Real Estate Real Estate
TSE Standard
¥1,207.00
-1.07%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

8844
COSMOS INITIA Co.,Ltd.
Real EstateReal Estate
¥1,207.00
Close used for this calculation
¥2,991.98Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
78/100
Profitability19/25
Returns21/25
Balance Sheet13/25
Efficiency25/25
Growth25/25
Strong
Quality radar
78Prof.19/25Ret.21/25Eff.25/25B.Sht13/25Growth25/25

Consensus fair value

¥2,991.98
Below FV
▲ +147.9% against the close used
Model range ¥1,830.78 – ¥7,290.30
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥1,830.78Fair value¥2,991.98Bull¥7,290.30
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,061.0052W high ¥1,472.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

COSMOS INITIA Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥1,207.00, 59.7% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,991.98 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 78/100 — Strong. P/E of 5.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥1,830.78
+51.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥3,027.55
+150.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=243.01, BVPS=1676.39
P/E Fair Value
¥4,860.20
+302.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=243.01, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥7,290.30
+504.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=243.01, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥4,820.63
+299.4%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=12.87B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥2,594.08
+114.9%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=48.04, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥3,989.81
+230.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1676.39, ROE=15.5%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,207.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -10% | Historical: 48.3%
Margin of Safety
¥2,429.63
+101.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=3239.51, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.