Keisei Electric Railway Co.,Ltd.

9009 TSE Industrials Land Transportation
TSE Prime
¥1,382.50
-0.90%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

9009
Keisei Electric Railway Co.,Ltd.
IndustrialsLand Transportation
¥1,382.50
Close used for this calculation
¥1,560.37Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
38/100
Profitability8/25
Returns8/25
Balance Sheet4/25
Efficiency18/25
Growth8/25
Average
Quality radar
38Prof.8/25Ret.8/25Eff.18/25B.Sht4/25Growth8/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,560.37
Near FV
▲ +12.9% against the close used
Model range ¥267.93 – ¥1,991.80
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥267.93Fair value¥1,560.37Bull¥1,991.80
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,042.5052W high ¥1,413.50

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Keisei Electric Railway Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥1,382.50, 11.4% below the consensus fair value of ¥1,560.37 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 38/100 — Average. P/E of 13.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥1,866.57
+35.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,606.72
+16.2%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=99.59, BVPS=1152.08
P/E Fair Value
¥1,991.80
+44.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=99.59, Sector P/E=20x
EV/EBITDA
¥754.68
-45.4%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=68.14B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥267.93
-80.6%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=21.01, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥987.50
-28.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1152.08, ROE=9%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,382.50
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 2.2% | Historical: 0%
Margin of Safety
¥1,366.27
-1.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1821.7, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.