The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥4,931.64Fair value¥8,002.20Bull¥11,416.80
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥3,256.0052W high ¥4,805.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
Central Japan Railway Company closed at ¥3,797.00, 52.6% below the consensus fair value of ¥8,002.20 drawn from 7 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 61/100 — Good. P/E of 6.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥4,931.64
+29.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥8,230.05
+116.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=570.84, BVPS=5273.61
P/E Fair Value
¥11,416.80
+200.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=570.84, Sector P/E=20x
EV/EBITDA
¥9,456.10
+149.0%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.04T
Book Value (P/B)
¥6,328.33
+66.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=5273.61, ROE=11.4%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,797.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -8.1% | Historical: 0%
Margin of Safety
¥6,144.62
+61.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=8192.83, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.