Central Japan Railway Company

9022 TSE Industrials Land Transportation
TSE Prime
¥3,797.00
-0.97%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

9022
Central Japan Railway Company
IndustrialsLand Transportation
¥3,797.00
Close used for this calculation
¥8,002.20Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
61/100
Profitability12/25
Returns18/25
Balance Sheet13/25
Efficiency18/25
Growth8/25
Good
Quality radar
61Prof.12/25Ret.18/25Eff.18/25B.Sht13/25Growth8/25

Consensus fair value

¥8,002.20
Below FV
▲ +110.8% against the close used
Model range ¥4,931.64 – ¥11,416.80
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥4,931.64Fair value¥8,002.20Bull¥11,416.80
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥3,256.0052W high ¥4,805.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Central Japan Railway Company closed at ¥3,797.00, 52.6% below the consensus fair value of ¥8,002.20 drawn from 7 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 61/100 — Good. P/E of 6.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥4,931.64
+29.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥8,230.05
+116.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=570.84, BVPS=5273.61
P/E Fair Value
¥11,416.80
+200.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=570.84, Sector P/E=20x
EV/EBITDA
¥9,456.10
+149.0%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.04T
Book Value (P/B)
¥6,328.33
+66.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=5273.61, ROE=11.4%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,797.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -8.1% | Historical: 0%
Margin of Safety
¥6,144.62
+61.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=8192.83, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.