Shibusawa Logistics Corporation
TSE Prime
¥2,081.00
+0.05%
Delayed · cached 15 min
Fair value analysis
9304
Shibusawa Logistics Corporation
¥2,081.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,497.96Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
48/100
Quality radar
Consensus fair value
¥1,497.96
Above FV▼ -28.0% against the close used
Model range ¥532.57 – ¥2,563.79
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥532.57Fair value¥1,497.96Bull¥2,563.79
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,081.0052W high ¥2,180.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading above the consensus fair value
Shibusawa Logistics Corporation closed at ¥2,081.00, 38.9% above the consensus fair value of ¥1,497.96 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 48/100 — Average. P/E of 18.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥1,097.30
-47.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=4.8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,738.34
-16.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=111.65, BVPS=1202.89 · outside Graham range (P/E 18.6, P/B 1.7) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥2,233.00
+7.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=111.65, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥532.57
-74.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=111.65, g=4.8%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,229.96
-40.9%
(EBITDA × 12.4x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=7.12B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥2,563.79
+23.2%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=127.98, r=10%, g=4.8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,087.89
-47.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1202.89, ROE=9.5%, g=4.8%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,081.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 6.2% | Historical: 4.8%
Margin of Safety
¥1,267.16
-39.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1689.55, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.