Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings

NCLH US Consumer Discretionary Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
S&P 500
$14.82
+1.72%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

NCLH
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings
Consumer DiscretionaryHotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
$14.82
Close used for this calculation
$25.45Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
41/100
Profitability8/25
Returns20/25
Balance Sheet2/25
Efficiency11/25
Growth11/25
Average
Quality radar
41Prof.8/25Ret.20/25Eff.11/25B.Sht2/25Growth11/25

Consensus fair value

$25.45
Below FV
▲ +71.7% against the close used
Model range $6.28 – $59.19
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear$6.28Fair value$25.45Bull$59.19
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low $14.5752W high $26.94

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings closed at $14.82, 41.8% below the consensus fair value of $25.45 drawn from 7 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 41/100 — Average. P/E of 16.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
$17.24
+16.4%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
P/E Fair Value
$18.40
+24.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=0.92, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
$6.28
-57.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=0.92, g=6.8%
EV/EBITDA
$59.19
+299.4%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=2.72B
Book Value (P/B)
$10.67
-28.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=5.55, ROE=16.5%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
$14.82
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 4.2% | Historical: -6.8%
Margin of Safety
$13.37
-9.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=17.82, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.