Italy Composite Leading Indicator

OECD composite leading indicator, designed to anticipate turning points in economic activity (long-term average = 100).

Composite Leading Indicator in Italy increased to 100.30 points in Sep 2026 from 100.21 points in Aug 2026.

100.30
▲ +0.09Sep 2026 · previous 100.21Monthly · index points · Source: OECD — Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development

Italy Composite Leading Indicator — History

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Italy Composite Leading Indicator — analysis in simple words

Latest reading

Composite Leading Indicator in Italy increased to 100.30 points in Sep 2026 from 100.21 points in Aug 2026.

It has risen in each of the last three months.

Recent trend

A year earlier (Sep 2025) it was 100.51, so the latest figure is 0.21 lower.

Over the past five years the average was 99.71, with a range from 97.71 to 103.95. The latest value is above that five-year average.

Historical context

This data series starts in Dec 1961 and has 778 monthly observations. The latest reading is higher than 58% of all of them.

The highest value on record is 105.84 (Aug 1973) and the lowest is 89.99 (Apr 2020). The long-run average is 100.00.

Compared with other countries

Among 17 economies with recent data, Italy ranks 12th from the top. The median across all these economies is 100.73, so Italy is below the typical country.

Among 16 major economies tracked on this site it ranks 11th.

Within Europe & Central Asia (6 economies with data) it ranks 5th; the regional median is 100.70.

Statistics

Latest
100.30Sep 2026
Previous
100.21
5-year average
99.71
Long-run average
100.00since Dec 1961
All-time high
105.84Aug 1973
All-time low
89.99Apr 2020
Observations
778Monthly

Recent Data

PeriodValueChange
Sep 2026100.30▲ +0.09
Aug 2026100.21▲ +0.08
Jul 2026100.13▲ +0.03
Jun 2026100.10▼ −0.04
May 2026100.14▼ −0.12
Apr 2026100.25▼ −0.18
Mar 2026100.44▼ −0.19
Feb 2026100.62▼ −0.13
Jan 2026100.76▼ −0.06
Dec 2025100.81▲ +0.03
Nov 2025100.79▲ +0.11
Oct 2025100.68▲ +0.17
Sep 2025100.51▲ +0.20
Aug 2025100.32▲ +0.20
Jul 2025100.12▲ +0.19
Jun 202599.93▲ +0.17
May 202599.75▲ +0.15
Apr 202599.61▲ +0.11
Mar 202599.50▲ +0.07
Feb 202599.43▲ +0.05
Jan 202599.39▲ +0.03
Dec 202499.36▲ +0.02
Nov 202499.34▲ +0.02
Oct 202499.32▲ +0.04
Sep 202499.28▲ +0.06
Aug 202499.23▲ +0.07
Jul 202499.16▲ +0.07
Jun 202499.09▲ +0.06
May 202499.03▲ +0.04
Apr 202498.98

Composite Leading Indicator — Italy vs Peers

Latest available reading for each economy (periods may differ). Italy highlighted.

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See all countries →

More Italy indicators

GDP Annual Growth Rate1.0%Q2 2026Interest Rate2.50%Sep 2026Inflation Rate3.3%Aug 2026Unemployment Rate6.2%Aug 2026Government Debt to GDP137.1%2025Balance of Trade$49.3B2025Current Account to GDP1.1%2025GDP$2,551.6B2025GDP Growth Rate0.16%Q2 2026Industrial Production-0.1%Jul 2026Business Confidence100.52Sep 2026
Italy economy overview →   Composite Leading Indicator — all countries →

Understanding Composite Leading Indicator — a simple guide

What it measures

The OECD Composite Leading Indicator (CLI) combines several forward-looking data series — such as business surveys, orders, share prices and interest-rate spreads — into one index designed to anticipate turning points in the economy.

How it is calculated

The OECD combines several leading series, smooths them, and scales the result so that 100 equals the long-term trend.

Simple example

A CLI moving from 99.5 to 100.3 over a few months suggests activity is turning up above trend.

▲ When it is high or rising

Above 100 and rising: growth above trend is expected.

▼ When it is low or falling

Below 100 and falling: a slowdown below trend is expected.

Why it matters for the economy and markets

Because it is built to turn before the economy does, the CLI is used to spot early signs of an upswing or a slowdown six to nine months ahead.

How to read it

A value above 100 means activity is expected to be above its long-term trend; below 100, below trend. The direction (rising or falling) matters as much as the level.

What to look at alongside it

Business confidence, industrial production and GDP growth.

Key terms

Leading indicator
A measure that tends to change before the overall economy does.
Amplitude adjusted
Scaled so swings are comparable across countries.

Data source

OECD — Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (series OECD CLI (amplitude adjusted)), monthly data from Dec 1961 to Sep 2026. Values are shown exactly as published by the source and may be revised later.

How to use the chart

Use the 5Y / 10Y / 25Y / Max buttons to change the time range, or drag the slider under the chart. Hover (or tap) on the line to see the exact value for any period. Dashed lines and hatched bars are IMF projections, not actual data. The “Download CSV” button gives you the full data series.

Frequently asked questions

What is the current composite leading indicator of Italy?
Italy composite leading indicator was 100.30 in Sep 2026, compared with 100.21 in the previous period, according to OECD — Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.
What is the highest and lowest composite leading indicator of Italy?
Since Dec 1961, the highest reading was 105.84 (Aug 1973) and the lowest was 89.99 (Apr 2020).
What does composite leading indicator measure?
The OECD Composite Leading Indicator (CLI) combines several forward-looking data series — such as business surveys, orders, share prices and interest-rate spreads — into one index designed to anticipate turning points in the economy.

Data are sourced from official international organisations (IMF, World Bank, BIS) and national authorities, and are shown for educational and informational purposes only. They are not investment advice and no recommendation is made. Figures may be revised by the source; IMF figures for the current and future years are projections. This page was last updated on Saturday, October 17, 2026.